THE EFFECT OF THE RUSSIA-UKRAINE CONFLICT ON THE POTENTIAL USE OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS
Keywords:
National Interest and Security, NATO, Russia and Ukraine, Nuclear Weapons, Balance of Power, Deterrence
Abstract
This research aims to analyze the potential use of nuclear weapons in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine in 2022. Based on a literature study, google trend analysis, and media review approach, there are four findings from this study. First, the goal of Ukraine joining NATO is to increase military strength and to obtain support as well as security guarantees from alliance countries is considered. As a result, Russia responded by increasing its military capability to invade Ukraine to maintain its national security. This situation represents the concept of the security dilemma. Second, the threat of the use of nuclear weapons by Russia as a deterrence strategy against NATO intervention. This intentions have yielded little results, because NATO continues to provide military support to Ukraine. Third, NATO’s weapons assistance to Ukraine has disrupted the balance of power in the international system. The increase in Russian military weapons and nuclear threats as the implementation of the power struggle aims to prevent the NATO alliance from becoming stronger which threatens Russia's national interests. Finally, the media trend analysis indicates that the potential use of nuclear weapons for war is still relatively small and become weaken.
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References
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Dutkiewicz, Piotr, and Richard Sakwa. (2015). Eurasian Integration - The View from Within, New York: Routledge. Pg 88.
European Council Council of the European Union. (2022). “EU response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine”. https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/eu-response-ukraine-invasion/, accessed on 17 July 2022.
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Herz, J. (1950). “Idealist Internationalism and the Security Dilemma”, World Politics vol. 2, no. 2: 171-201, (Published by Cambridge University Press)
Hutabarat, Leonard F. “Russia and Eurasian Integration”, Jurnal Cakrawala, ISSN 1693 6248.
Jervis, R. (1978). “Cooperation under the Security Dilemma”, World Politics vol.30 no.2 pp 186-214 (Published by Cambridge University Press).
John A. Tirpak. (2021). “Strategy & Policy: The Russian Way of War”. (Published by Air Force Magazine).
Kim, Lucian. (2022). "Putin's War on History". https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/putins-war-history.
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NATO. (2022). “Collective defense - Article 5”, https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_110496.htm#:~:text=Article%205%20provides%20that%20if,to%20assist%20the %20Ally%20attacked, accessed on July 17, 2022.
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Putin, Vladimir. (2011). "A new integration project for Eurasia: The future in the making", https://russiaeu.ru/en/news/article-prime-minister-vladimir-putin-new-integration-project-eurasia-future-making-izvestia-3-
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Reuters. (2022). “Russia's Putin authorizes 'special military operation' against Ukraine”, https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russias-putin-authorises-military-operations-donbass-domestic-media-2022-02-24 /.
Triantama, Febry. (2021). “Proliferasi Nuklir sebagai Pencipta Perdamaian Dunia Kontemporer: Sebuah Tinjauan Literatur”. Paradigma Polistaat, Jurnal Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik. Vol. 4. No.1
Published
2022-08-28
How to Cite
Vajriyati, S., Basuki, L. W., Lessy, A. K., Anieda, K. I., Kuswoyo, L. C., & Meristiana, M. (2022). THE EFFECT OF THE RUSSIA-UKRAINE CONFLICT ON THE POTENTIAL USE OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS. Journal of Social Political Sciences, 3(3), 235-267. https://doi.org/10.52166/jsps.v3i3.123
Section
Articles
Copyright (c) 2022 Suci Vajriyati, Luthfi Wahyu Basuki, Ayu Kartika Lessy, Kinara Inkan Anieda, Laila Chumairoh Kuswoyo, Meysita Meristiana
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
